roi.py 9.7 KB

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  1. from __future__ import annotations
  2. import dataclasses
  3. import json
  4. import typing
  5. import cache
  6. def main() -> None:
  7. recipes: list[Recipe] = cache.get('https://api.prunplanner.org/data/recipes/')
  8. buildings: dict[str, Building] = {m['building_ticker']: m for m in cache.get('https://api.prunplanner.org/data/buildings/')}
  9. materials: dict[str, Material] = {m['ticker']: m for m in cache.get('https://api.prunplanner.org/data/materials/')}
  10. raw_prices: list[RawPrice] = cache.get('https://refined-prun.github.io/refined-prices/all.json')
  11. for cx in ['AI1', 'CI1', 'IC1', 'NC1']:
  12. profits = calc_for_cx(cx, recipes, buildings, materials, raw_prices)
  13. with open(f'www/roi_{cx.lower()}.json', 'w') as f:
  14. json.dump([dataclasses.asdict(p) for p in profits], f, indent='\t')
  15. def calc_for_cx(cx: str, recipes: typing.Collection[Recipe], buildings: typing.Mapping[str, Building],
  16. materials: typing.Mapping[str, Material], raw_prices: typing.Collection[RawPrice]) -> typing.Sequence[Profit]:
  17. prices: dict[str, Price] = {
  18. p['MaterialTicker']: Price(p['VWAP7D'], p['AverageTraded7D'], p['VWAP30D'], p['Bid'], p['Ask']) for p in raw_prices # pyright: ignore[reportArgumentType]
  19. if p['ExchangeCode'] == cx
  20. }
  21. habitation: typing.Mapping[Worker, str] = {
  22. 'pioneers': 'HB1',
  23. 'settlers': 'HB2',
  24. 'technicians': 'HB3',
  25. 'engineers': 'HB4',
  26. 'scientists': 'HB5',
  27. }
  28. hab_area_cost: dict[Worker, float] = {}
  29. hab_capex: dict[Worker, dict[str, float]] = {}
  30. for worker, hab in habitation.items():
  31. hab_area_cost[worker] = buildings[hab]['area_cost'] / 100
  32. base_capex = building_construction_cost(buildings[hab], prices)
  33. hab_capex[worker] = {k: v / 100 for k, v in base_capex.items()}
  34. profits: list[Profit] = []
  35. for recipe in recipes:
  36. if profit := calc_profit(recipe, buildings, hab_area_cost, hab_capex, materials, prices):
  37. profits.append(profit)
  38. profits.sort()
  39. return profits
  40. def get_metrics(amount: float, price: Price) -> dict[str, float]:
  41. v = price.vwap_7d or price.vwap_30d or 0.0
  42. b = price.bid if price.bid is not None else v
  43. a = price.ask if price.ask is not None else v
  44. return {'vwap': amount * v, 'bid': amount * b, 'ask': amount * a}
  45. def calc_profit(recipe: Recipe, buildings: typing.Mapping[str, Building], hab_area_cost: typing.Mapping[Worker, float],
  46. hab_capex: typing.Mapping[Worker, dict[str, float]], materials: typing.Mapping[str, Material],
  47. prices: typing.Mapping[str, Price]) -> Profit | None:
  48. if len(recipe['outputs']) == 0:
  49. return
  50. building = buildings[recipe['building_ticker']]
  51. area = building['area_cost'] + sum(hab_area_cost[worker] * building[worker] for worker in hab_area_cost)
  52. runs_per_day = 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000 / recipe['time_ms'] * 1.25 # assume CoGC
  53. if building['building_ticker'] in ('FRM', 'ORC'):
  54. runs_per_day *= 1.1212 # promitor's fertility
  55. outputs: list[MatPrice] = []
  56. revenue = {'vwap': 0.0, 'bid': 0.0, 'ask': 0.0}
  57. output_prices: dict[str, PriceNonNull] = {}
  58. for output in recipe['outputs']:
  59. price = prices[output['material_ticker']]
  60. if price.vwap_7d is None or price.average_traded_7d is None:
  61. return # skip recipes with thinly traded outputs
  62. output_prices[output['material_ticker']] = typing.cast(PriceNonNull, price)
  63. m = get_metrics(output['material_amount'] * runs_per_day, price)
  64. for k in revenue: revenue[k] += m[k]
  65. outputs.append(MatPrice(output['material_ticker'], output['material_amount'], price.vwap_7d, price.bid, price.ask))
  66. input_costs: list[MatPrice] = []
  67. opex = {'vwap': 0.0, 'bid': 0.0, 'ask': 0.0}
  68. for input in recipe['inputs']:
  69. price = prices[input['material_ticker']]
  70. if price.vwap_7d is None:
  71. return # skip recipes with thinly traded inputs
  72. m = get_metrics(input['material_amount'] * runs_per_day, price)
  73. for k in opex: opex[k] += m[k]
  74. input_costs.append(MatPrice(input['material_ticker'], input['material_amount'], price.vwap_7d, price.bid, price.ask))
  75. worker_consumable = building_daily_cost(building, prices)
  76. for k in opex: opex[k] += worker_consumable[k]
  77. capex = building_construction_cost(building, prices)
  78. for worker, hab_cost in hab_capex.items():
  79. workers = building[worker]
  80. if workers > 0:
  81. for k in capex: capex[k] += hab_cost[k] * workers
  82. lowest_liquidity = min(recipe['outputs'],
  83. key=lambda output: output['material_amount'] / output_prices[output['material_ticker']].average_traded_7d)
  84. output_per_day = lowest_liquidity['material_amount'] * runs_per_day
  85. average_traded_7d = output_prices[lowest_liquidity['material_ticker']].average_traded_7d
  86. output_per_base = output_per_day / (area / 500)
  87. market_capacity_base = average_traded_7d / output_per_base
  88. # EXTREME DETAIL: Abstracted the 4 core logistics metrics into explicit variables for readability.
  89. in_w = sum(materials[input['material_ticker']]['weight'] * input['material_amount'] for input in recipe['inputs'])
  90. in_v = sum(materials[input['material_ticker']]['volume'] * input['material_amount'] for input in recipe['inputs'])
  91. out_w = sum(materials[output['material_ticker']]['weight'] * output['material_amount'] for output in recipe['outputs'])
  92. out_v = sum(materials[output['material_ticker']]['volume'] * output['material_amount'] for output in recipe['outputs'])
  93. runs_per_base = runs_per_day / (area / 500)
  94. # EXTREME DETAIL: We compute the fraction of ship cargo space required per base per day.
  95. # We evaluate the maximum bottleneck across the round trip (assuming 3000 weight OR 1000 volume limits).
  96. # This ship fraction is then multiplied by 800,000 (the capital cost of a single ship).
  97. ships_needed_per_base = max(in_w / 3000, in_v / 1000, out_w / 3000, out_v / 1000) * runs_per_base
  98. ship_capex_per_base = ships_needed_per_base * 800_000
  99. logistics_per_base = max(in_w, in_v, out_w, out_v) * runs_per_base
  100. return Profit(outputs, recipe['recipe_name'],
  101. expertise=building['expertise'],
  102. building=building['building_ticker'],
  103. area=area,
  104. capex=capex,
  105. opex=opex,
  106. revenue=revenue,
  107. input_costs=input_costs,
  108. runs_per_day=runs_per_day,
  109. logistics_per_base=logistics_per_base,
  110. output_per_day=output_per_day,
  111. average_traded_7d=average_traded_7d,
  112. market_capacity_base=market_capacity_base,
  113. ship_capex_per_base=ship_capex_per_base)
  114. def building_construction_cost(building: Building, prices: typing.Mapping[str, Price]) -> dict[str, float]:
  115. cost = {'vwap': 0.0, 'bid': 0.0, 'ask': 0.0}
  116. for bc in building['costs']:
  117. m = get_metrics(bc['material_amount'], prices[bc['material_ticker']])
  118. for k in cost: cost[k] += m[k]
  119. # https://handbook.apex.prosperousuniverse.com/wiki/building-costs/#rocky-planets
  120. mcg = get_metrics(building['area_cost'] * 4, prices['MCG'])
  121. for k in cost: cost[k] += mcg[k]
  122. return cost
  123. def building_daily_cost(building: Building, prices: typing.Mapping[str, Price]) -> dict[str, float]:
  124. consumption = {
  125. 'pioneers': [('COF', 0.5), ('DW', 4), ('RAT', 4), ('OVE', 0.5), ('PWO', 0.2)],
  126. 'settlers': [('DW', 5), ('RAT', 6), ('KOM', 1), ('EXO', 0.5), ('REP', 0.2), ('PT', 0.5)],
  127. 'technicians': [('DW', 7.5), ('RAT', 7), ('ALE', 1), ('MED', 0.5), ('SC', 0.1), ('HMS', 0.5), ('SCN', 0.1)],
  128. 'engineers': [('DW', 10), ('MED', 0.5), ('GIN', 1), ('FIM', 7), ('VG', 0.2), ('HSS', 0.2), ('PDA', 0.1)],
  129. 'scientists': [('DW', 10), ('MED', 0.5), ('WIN', 1), ('MEA', 7), ('NST', 0.1), ('LC', 0.2), ('WS', 0.05)],
  130. }
  131. cost = {'vwap': 0.0, 'bid': 0.0, 'ask': 0.0}
  132. for worker, mats in consumption.items():
  133. workers = building[worker]
  134. for mat, per_100 in mats:
  135. m = get_metrics(workers * per_100 / 100, prices[mat])
  136. for k in cost: cost[k] += m[k]
  137. return cost
  138. Worker = typing.Literal['pioneers', 'settlers', 'technicians', 'engineers', 'scientists']
  139. class Recipe(typing.TypedDict):
  140. recipe_name: str
  141. building_ticker: str
  142. inputs: list[RecipeMat]
  143. outputs: list[RecipeMat]
  144. time_ms: int
  145. class RecipeMat(typing.TypedDict):
  146. material_ticker: str
  147. material_amount: int
  148. class Building(typing.TypedDict):
  149. building_ticker: str
  150. expertise: str
  151. area_cost: int
  152. costs: list[BuildingMat]
  153. pioneers: int
  154. settlers: int
  155. technicians: int
  156. engineers: int
  157. scientists: int
  158. class BuildingMat(typing.TypedDict):
  159. material_ticker: str
  160. material_amount: int
  161. class Material(typing.TypedDict):
  162. ticker: str
  163. weight: float
  164. volume: float
  165. class RawPrice(typing.TypedDict):
  166. MaterialTicker: str
  167. ExchangeCode: str
  168. VWAP7D: float | None
  169. AverageTraded7D: float | None
  170. VWAP30D: float | None
  171. Bid: float | None
  172. Ask: float | None
  173. @dataclasses.dataclass(eq=False, frozen=True, slots=True)
  174. class Price:
  175. vwap_7d: float | None
  176. average_traded_7d: float | None
  177. vwap_30d: float | None
  178. bid: float | None
  179. ask: float | None
  180. @dataclasses.dataclass(eq=False, frozen=True, slots=True)
  181. class PriceNonNull:
  182. vwap_7d: float
  183. average_traded_7d: float
  184. @dataclasses.dataclass(eq=False, frozen=True, slots=True)
  185. class Profit:
  186. outputs: typing.Collection[MatPrice]
  187. recipe: str
  188. expertise: str
  189. building: str
  190. area: float
  191. capex: dict[str, float]
  192. opex: dict[str, float]
  193. revenue: dict[str, float]
  194. input_costs: typing.Collection[MatPrice]
  195. runs_per_day: float
  196. logistics_per_base: float
  197. output_per_day: float
  198. average_traded_7d: float
  199. market_capacity_base: float
  200. ship_capex_per_base: float # Added pre-calculated property tracking
  201. def __lt__(self, other: Profit) -> bool:
  202. bases_a = self.area / 500
  203. p_a = (self.revenue['vwap'] - self.opex['vwap']) / bases_a
  204. c_a = self.capex['vwap'] / bases_a
  205. o_a = self.opex['vwap'] / bases_a
  206. be_a = (c_a + 3 * o_a) / p_a if p_a > 0 else 10000 - p_a
  207. bases_b = other.area / 500
  208. p_b = (other.revenue['vwap'] - other.opex['vwap']) / bases_b
  209. c_b = other.capex['vwap'] / bases_b
  210. o_b = other.opex['vwap'] / bases_b
  211. be_b = (c_b + 3 * o_b) / p_b if p_b > 0 else 10000 - p_b
  212. return be_a < be_b
  213. @dataclasses.dataclass(eq=False, frozen=True, slots=True)
  214. class MatPrice:
  215. ticker: str
  216. amount: int
  217. vwap_7d: float
  218. bid: float | None
  219. ask: float | None
  220. if __name__ == '__main__':
  221. main()